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The World's Busiest Maternity Ward

Discussion in 'News from The Philippines' started by Anon220806, Oct 31, 2013.

  1. Anon220806
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    Anon220806 Well-Known Member

    Your analogy with 100 years ago is a good one. I recall my daughters accomadation at Leeds University. Terraced houses that were not just side to side but back to back - relics from a byegone era.
  2. oss
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    oss Somewhere Staff Member

    I suspect that although Manila looks big the actual volume of roadspace is probably not comparable to a major western city, take London 30 miles wide by about 24 miles on the north - south line, 2.6 million cars and 8 million people, then look at Manila about 30 miles north to south but narrow about 12 miles at the widest and 5 at the narrowest, 17 million people and how many cars? I checked the LTO and it looks like there were 2 million registered vehicles in 2012 (NCR region), population about 17 million, that 2 million includes probably about a half million commercial vehicle, combine that with the observation that if it can still move then it probably will and you can see where the congestion comes from.

    Looking at the stats http://www.lto.gov.ph/index.php/component/jdownloads/finish/9/97?Itemid=0 (hard to read for just the NCR) in the whole country the number of vehicles increased by about 320,000 or so between 2011 and 2012 that kind of supports the idea that the total numbers went up because old vehicles don't really get scrapped. Adjust that 320,000 for just the NCR and you might get growth of 150,000 new vehicles private and commercial in 2011-12. If the wealthy were on a UK style three year replacement plan that might indicate maybe 100,000 new private vehicles a year so maybe about 400,000 or so wealthy enough to be classed middle and upper class.

    I know this is back of a ciggy packet statistics, I'm really just guessing with a little help from a couple of published docs that are not that clear in the first place :)
    Last edited: Nov 2, 2013
  3. Anon220806
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    Anon220806 Well-Known Member

    LOL it was certainly a thought that ran through my mind as we sat in Manila traffic going from A to B.....but I see the point you are making.
  4. Anon220806
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    Anon220806 Well-Known Member

    During my time spent in Manila I must have visited 4 malls including MOA. Robinsons SMA etc. They were all pretty big. And all sold good ranges of cheaper and luxury clothing and consumer goods. The Malls wern't empty. I couldnt even get any attention from a shop assistant in the mobile phone shop one time as there was a queue. Being mindful of the large quantity of Tondo style shanties that were everywhere it occurred to me that there was some money being spent in these shops on consumer goods etc and concluded that there was at least a reasonable sized sector of the population that had enough purchasing power and were members of a middle class (too many to be the super rich, I thought.)
  5. oss
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    oss Somewhere Staff Member

    Yes I agree, I'm not saying that the economy is propped up purely by the super rich but take a wander round some bits of Greenbelt in Makati and you will find stores that only cater for the top end.

    The prices in most malls for things like clothing and so on are pretty much on a par to the UK now, there are plenty of stores in the UK where I could get stuff cheaper than the malls in Manila. If you go the the outdoor markets like the stalls around Baclaren you can get genuinely cheap clothes but the quality gets pretty poor pretty quick.

    Furniture used to be dirt cheap but it's crept up in price too, electronics, TV's, and so on, have always been cheaper here in the UK, even with our VAT rates, that I think is simply a reflection of the scale of the UK market.

    White goods are a similar price to the UK, a bit cheaper, you can get a good upright automatic washing machine with a 5kg load for about 130 quid, similar to Argos in the UK (had to buy one last Christmas in Manila)

    Meat fish and veg are still significantly cheaper than the UK, dining out is a bit cheaper, beer and cigarettes are cheaper.

    What always goes through my mind when I am there and see the busy malls and all the spending is where is the money coming from, I know the wage rates for even top end jobs and it is obvious from the sheer number of malls that there is a lot of money around, ok there are an awful lot of businesses in Manila of all shapes and sizes but even those will be controlled by just a couple of members of a family, other family members may well be employed in the family business but they will still be on low salaries, it is only the owners that really see the profits, even a manager of a business will be on a relatively low wage.

    I just don't get it, I have considered that it is a failure of my own limited imagination, humans are not good at scale, it is well known that we struggle when numbers get large very much the 1,2,3, many problem, we look around and guess at the numbers but often we are wrong.

    It might be better to try to get some statistics on GDP, number of taxpayers, corporate tax paid, total tax revenue, sales tax revenue and so on and sit down with a spreadsheet and build some models while taking a guess at the size of the black economy, which will be huge, Ana has no idea what a tax return looks like for example.
    Last edited: Nov 2, 2013
  6. KeithAngel
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    KeithAngel 2063 Lifetime Member

    Social Security in its literal sense is how I would define "middle class" so take the houses for rent we have been refering to peso for pound ,like for like can the Teacher or Doctor call center worker afford rents of 8-25000 from monthly income? The maternity bill oss spoke of 60,000 is perhaps 40% of a years income what happens if serious illness arrives or unemployment?

    What we where looking at may be "fur coat no knickers" lol
  7. blue_acid
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    blue_acid Member Trusted Member

    I went to one of the 2 Unis I mentioned in number 2. It has it's perks :) Is UP the only school exempted from the english language test?
  8. oss
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    oss Somewhere Staff Member

    That's a good point too Keith, by that measure even we are not middle class either here in the UK or over there, even though we were able to afford big maternity bills.
  9. blue_acid
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    blue_acid Member Trusted Member

    1. Most families who are rich or above middle class will have at least 2 cars to combat the color coding scheme. My family has 4 but is now down to 3 because I got married and got one of the cars.

    2. Downpayment is cheap and you can drive the car home. The rest of the amount can be financed and be paid over a span of few years.

    3. This is not just about cars but generally of the culture, they tend to be materialistic and aspirational. They will loan money or use their credit card or save a lot of money to get a new car or a new laptop or a new phone. You would see mall workers with iPads, squatters have a TV but no refrigerator, etc.
  10. Anon220806
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    Anon220806 Well-Known Member

    I haven't come across anyone on the forums that has been able to exempt themselves in this way. From a lengthy conversation I had with UK NARIC there are some Philippine universities who's degrees enable those applying for spouse or fiancee visas in the Philippines for the UK, dispensation on the English Language test requirement. My wife's university wasn't one of them. They didn't give me a list but I seem to recall that De La Salle was an example they gave where the exemption is applied so I would have thought that would have covered UP too....
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2013
  11. Methersgate
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    Methersgate Well-Known Member Lifetime Member

    Very interesting, positive, and enjoyable programme, which sparked an interesting discussion here.

    There are a lot of people in what I would like to call the "Cammella Homes demographic" - people who might perhaps afford a car, but who probably don't have one, and who can, if they are careful, afford a mortgage on a three bedroom house and a private school for one or two children. Very often, these are couples one of whom is an OCW in one of the better paid OCW occupations - engineer, ship's offioer, etc.

    The rise of Cammella Homes is something that I find rather interesting - this is the classic aspirational new middle class.
  12. blue_acid
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    blue_acid Member Trusted Member

    If that's the case then that's one less task for us when we decide to apply for a spousal visa :) Haha way to go being a Green Archer!
  13. Anon220806
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    Anon220806 Well-Known Member

    A quick call to UK NARIC should confirm either way.


    http://ecctis.co.uk/naric/
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2013
  14. blue_acid
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    blue_acid Member Trusted Member

    Thanks JohnAsh, will keep that in mind :) Not really worried about the English test though, I've always been mistaken as Canadian or American in the UK
  15. Anon220806
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    Anon220806 Well-Known Member

    Yes, its pretty obvious that your English is very good. Your posts read as though you are British though with a subtle hint of Americanese thrown in :D

    I know wgat you mean. Though if you get excemption then its a bit of hassle that you wont need to bother with. And again when you are in the UK, as the ELT is also a requirement for ILR now and the test results seem to expire after 2 years ( some do at least ). My wife will need to retake hers for Citizenship next year. I am sure she will be okay but its extra hassle and more fees.
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2013
  16. blue_acid
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    blue_acid Member Trusted Member

    Why thank you! But my spelling is still very Americanized :p

    Every penny saved is important! I don't really understand why they have to do it but then we don't really have a choice. I hope your wife does well, I'm sure if she is immersed with the British culture, her English will greatly improve.
  17. Anon220806
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    Anon220806 Well-Known Member

    I wouldnt say immersed. Getting used to it maybe :D
  18. pieter
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    pieter New Member

    Well if you Google Juna and Citigroup you will find tweets from the organization Street Source. A Canadian relief organization that tweeted about meeting Juna, a former intern at Citigroup (CBPS) that is one of their Streat Source graduates. Steetkids International runs a program to prepare street kids to be ready for a job. They have a Facebook page.

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